Preseason Rankings
Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.7#63
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.0#226
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#49
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#84
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 1.4% 3.6% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 5.1% 11.6% 2.9%
Top 6 Seed 11.0% 22.1% 7.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.3% 51.3% 23.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29.3% 49.9% 22.5%
Average Seed 7.4 6.9 7.8
.500 or above 52.6% 73.7% 45.4%
.500 or above in Conference 35.0% 57.2% 27.4%
Conference Champion 1.0% 3.2% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 8.7% 2.6% 10.8%
First Four3.1% 4.0% 2.8%
First Round28.7% 49.5% 21.7%
Second Round16.5% 29.7% 12.1%
Sweet Sixteen6.6% 12.7% 4.5%
Elite Eight2.6% 5.0% 1.8%
Final Four1.1% 2.2% 0.7%
Championship Game0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.4% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Home) - 25.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 24 - 37 - 13
Quad 34 - 111 - 15
Quad 44 - 015 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 6   Louisville L 68-75 25%    
  Nov 08, 2019 163   Florida Atlantic W 76-64 87%    
  Nov 12, 2019 94   @ Central Florida W 68-67 54%    
  Nov 16, 2019 256   Quinnipiac W 81-64 94%    
  Nov 21, 2019 125   Missouri St. W 72-66 70%    
  Dec 02, 2019 42   @ Illinois L 74-79 32%    
  Dec 14, 2019 352   Alabama A&M W 81-52 99%    
  Dec 17, 2019 83   Temple W 74-72 58%    
  Dec 21, 2019 348   Coppin St. W 86-60 99%    
  Dec 31, 2019 81   @ Clemson L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 04, 2020 3   Duke L 73-81 25%    
  Jan 07, 2020 6   @ Louisville L 65-78 14%    
  Jan 12, 2020 72   Pittsburgh W 72-68 65%    
  Jan 15, 2020 22   @ North Carolina St. L 74-81 28%    
  Jan 18, 2020 18   Florida St. L 71-73 45%    
  Jan 21, 2020 3   @ Duke L 70-84 12%    
  Jan 25, 2020 5   @ North Carolina L 75-88 14%    
  Jan 28, 2020 85   Virginia Tech W 69-64 68%    
  Feb 02, 2020 72   @ Pittsburgh L 69-71 45%    
  Feb 05, 2020 22   North Carolina St. L 77-78 47%    
  Feb 08, 2020 18   @ Florida St. L 68-76 26%    
  Feb 12, 2020 101   Boston College W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 15, 2020 91   Wake Forest W 75-69 71%    
  Feb 19, 2020 85   @ Virginia Tech L 66-67 48%    
  Feb 23, 2020 41   @ Notre Dame L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 29, 2020 75   @ Georgia Tech L 69-70 46%    
  Mar 04, 2020 10   Virginia L 59-64 35%    
  Mar 07, 2020 59   Syracuse W 70-67 59%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.8 2.2 0.6 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.0 3.1 0.7 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.7 3.8 0.9 0.1 9.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.5 4.1 1.2 0.1 9.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.0 1.6 0.1 0.0 9.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.3 1.8 0.3 8.4 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 1.9 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.1 14th
15th 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.9 15th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.1 6.4 8.3 10.0 10.8 11.3 11.0 9.7 7.7 6.6 4.4 3.0 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 96.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
17-3 58.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 28.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 9.1% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 26.0% 74.0% 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 20.3% 79.7% 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 20.3% 79.7% 2.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.9% 100.0% 15.2% 84.8% 2.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.8% 100.0% 14.5% 85.5% 3.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 3.0% 99.7% 5.2% 94.5% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-7 4.4% 98.8% 5.3% 93.5% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.7%
12-8 6.6% 92.5% 3.5% 89.0% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.5 92.3%
11-9 7.7% 76.7% 1.7% 75.1% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.8 76.3%
10-10 9.7% 48.7% 0.7% 48.0% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.0 48.3%
9-11 11.0% 18.2% 0.3% 17.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 9.0 18.0%
8-12 11.3% 5.4% 0.2% 5.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 10.7 5.2%
7-13 10.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7 0.6%
6-14 10.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 10.1 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0%
5-15 8.3% 8.3
4-16 6.4% 6.4
3-17 4.1% 4.1
2-18 2.1% 2.1
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 30.3% 1.4% 28.9% 7.4 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.1 2.7 3.2 3.6 4.1 3.6 3.5 3.5 1.1 0.0 69.7 29.3%